Tanzania Meteorological Authority Issues Critical Advisory for November 2025-April 2026 Growing Season
Issued: October 17, 2025
The Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) has released its seasonal rainfall forecast for Dodoma Region, warning farmers and livestock keepers to prepare for challenging conditions during the upcoming agricultural season running from November 2025 through April 2026.
Key Forecast Highlights
According to the official outlook, most areas across Dodoma Region and its districts—including Dodoma, Mpwapwa, Kongwa, Bahi, Chamwino, Chemba, and Kondoa—should expect below-average to average rainfall throughout the season.
Critical Timeline:
- Rainfall Start: First and second weeks of December 2025
- Rainfall End: Third and fourth weeks of April 2026
- Rainfall Deficit Period: November 2025 through January 2026 (first half of season)
- Peak Rainfall: February through April 2026 (second half of season)
The forecast indicates that the season will be dominated by prolonged dry spells and unsatisfactory rainfall distribution, with expected rainfall amounts ranging from 590-670 millimeters across different districts—compared to the 30-year average (1991-2020) for the region.
Expected Impacts
Agricultural experts warn of several potential challenges:
- Reduced Soil Moisture: Significant moisture deficits in many areas may negatively impact crop yields
- Pest and Disease Pressure: Crop pests and livestock diseases are likely to emerge, particularly during rainy periods
- Limited Water and Pasture: Rainfall shortages may severely affect the availability of grazing land and water sources for livestock
Essential Guidance for Farmers
TMA has issued comprehensive recommendations for agricultural producers:
Crop Production Strategies
- Timely Farm Preparation: Begin land preparation immediately to maximize the limited rainfall window
- Smart Seed Selection: Choose drought-resistant crop varieties and seeds appropriate for below-average rainfall conditions
- Optimal Planting Schedule: Plant during the first available rains in early December to utilize the entire growing period
- Proper Fertilizer Application: Apply fertilizers at the right time to maximize crop response despite moisture limitations
- Regular Weeding: Maintain weed-free fields to reduce competition for limited water resources
Water Conservation Measures
- Rainwater Harvesting: Implement rainwater collection and storage systems for use during dry spells
- Soil Moisture Conservation: Adopt farming practices that preserve soil moisture, including:
- Mulching
- Minimum tillage
- Contour farming
- Cover cropping
Livestock Management
- Pasture Management: Plant and preserve fodder crops before the season begins
- Best Practices: Follow recommended livestock husbandry practices to ensure animal health during challenging conditions
- Water Planning: Secure alternative water sources for livestock during expected dry periods
District-Specific Considerations
Mpwapwa District: Northern areas expected to receive below-average to average rainfall, while southern areas may see average to below-average rainfall (620-670mm)
Kongwa, Dodoma, Bahi, Chamwino, Chemba, and Kondoa Districts: Generally below-average to average rainfall expected across most areas (590-670mm)
Important Advisory Notes
TMA emphasized that even in areas expecting below-average rainfall, occasional heavy rainfall events may still occur. Farmers are strongly encouraged to:
- Seek additional guidance from local agricultural extension officers
- Monitor daily, 10-day, and monthly weather forecasts regularly
- Stay alert to weather warnings issued by TMA
- Visit the official TMA website at www.meteo.go.tz for updated forecasts and alerts
Expert Commentary
Agricultural extension services stress that successful crop production this season will depend heavily on proper preparation and adaptive farming techniques. “Farmers who implement water-smart practices and choose appropriate crops will be better positioned to navigate this challenging season,” noted local agricultural advisors.
The forecast serves as a critical planning tool for Dodoma Region’s predominantly agricultural population, where farming and livestock keeping form the backbone of the local economy.
For More Information:
- Tanzania Meteorological Authority
- University of Dodoma Campus
- Phone: +255 26 2962610
- Email: met@meteo.go.tz
- Website: www.meteo.go.tz
This advisory is based on official meteorological data and the 30-year climatological average (1991-2020). Conditions may vary, and farmers should remain vigilant for updated forecasts throughout the season.